Introduction: The association between a change in proteinuria over time and its impact on kidney prognosis has not been analysed in complement component 3 (C3) glomerulopathy. This study aims to investigate the association between the longitudinal change in proteinuria and the risk of kidney failure.
Methods: This was a retrospective, multicentre observational cohort study in 35 nephrology departments belonging to the Spanish Group for the Study of Glomerular Diseases. Patients diagnosed with C3 glomerulopathy between 1995 and 2020 were enrolled. A joint modelling of linear mixed-effects models was applied to assess the underlying trajectory of a repeatedly measured proteinuria, and a Cox model to evaluate the association of this trajectory with the risk of kidney failure.
Results: The study group consisted of 85 patients, 70 C3 glomerulonephritis and 15 dense deposit disease, with a median age of 26 years (range 13-41). During a median follow-up of 42 months, 25 patients reached kidney failure. The longitudinal change in proteinuria showed a strong association with the risk of this outcome, with a doubling of proteinuria levels resulting in a 2.5-fold increase of the risk. A second model showed that a ≥50% proteinuria reduction over time was significantly associated with a lower risk of kidney failure (hazard ratio 0.79; 95% confidence interval 0.56-0.97; P < 0.001). This association was also found when the ≥50% proteinuria reduction was observed within the first 6 and 12 months of follow-up.
Conclusions: The longitudinal change in proteinuria is strongly associated with the risk of kidney failure. The change in proteinuria over time can provide clinicians a dynamic prediction of kidney outcomes.
Keywords: C3 glomerulopathy; joint models; kidney failure; proteinuria.
© The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of ERA-EDTA.