Environmental correlation and epidemiologic analysis of COVID-19 pandemic in ten regions in five continents

Background: Coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) has caused worldwide health emergencies during the last 6 months of 2020. Within very short time, severe acute respiratory coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) has infected over 64,516,333 people with 1,493,264 fatalities in 210 countries and regions. Previous studies have reported that environmental factors can affect the viability and transmission of SARS-CoV-2. This study aimed to determine the correlation of environmental factors with COVID-19 pandemic and epidemiology of COVID-19 across nine countries in five continents.

Methods: Both environmental and health data were retrieved from various databases during January 1, 2020 to June 30, 2020. Mean value of environmental factors were calculated for weekly and daily cases and fatalities. Spearman correlation test was conducted.

Results: In this study, most of the COVID-19 cases and fatalities were detected from regions (New York, Madrid, Lombardy, London and Sau Paulo) with 7 °C-25 °C mean temperature per day, 3 to 6 mean UV index per day and 14 km/h to 22 km/h mean wind velocity per day. Both cases and fatalities increased significantly after removing lockdown in Bangladesh, India, Brazil and South Africa. Over 50% COVID-19 patients were asymptomatic in every country except Brazil and Australia. Fever (>50%) was the most common symptom followed by cough (45%), tiredness (38%) and sore throat (30%), respectively. In India and Bangladesh over 70% of cases were reported in male. Significant correlation of COVID-19 cases with temperature and UV were detected in London, Lombardy, Madrid, New York and Dhaka.

Conclusion: This is one of the first cross-country epidemiologic and correlation studies between environmental factors and COVID-19 pandemics. This study will help both local and international health organizations and policy makers to face the COVID-19 challenge.