Risk factors for breast cancer subtypes among Black women undergoing screening mammography

Purpose: Black women are more likely than non-Hispanic White women to be diagnosed with triple negative breast cancer (TNBC), an aggressive subtype with limited treatment options. The study objective was to evaluate the associations of known breast cancer risk factors, including breast density, with TNBC among Black women.

Methods: This study included Black women who underwent screening mammography between the ages of 40-84 years at a University of Pennsylvania Health System between 2010 and 2015. Cox proportional hazard models using multiple imputation with chained equations were used to estimate hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals for risk factors for ER/PR+/HER2- and TNBC.

Results: Among 25,013 Black women, there were 330 incident breast cancers (1.3%) during a mean follow-up of 5.8 years; 218 (66.1%) ER/PR+ HER- and 61 (18.1%) TNBC. Having dense breasts (heterogeneously dense or extremely dense) vs. non-dense breasts (almost entirely fatty or scattered areas of fibroglandular density) increased risk of ER/PR+/HER2- breast cancer almost 80% (HR 1.79, 95% CI 1.32-2.43) and TNBC more than twofold (HR 2.53, 1.45-4.44). Older age was associated with an increased risk for ER/PR+/HER2- (HR 1.04, 1.03-1.06) and TNBC (HR 1.03, 1.00-1.05). Having a BMI of > 30 kg/m² was associated with an increased risk (HR 2.77, 1.05-7.30) for TNBC and an increased risk of ERPR+/HER2- breast cancer in postmenopausal but not pre-menopausal women (p-interaction = 0.016).

Conclusion: Our results suggest that breast density and obesity are strong risk factors for TNBC among Black women. Understanding breast cancer subtype specific risk factors among Black women can help improve risk assessment.