Diagnostic value of donor-derived cell-free DNA to predict antibody-mediated rejection in donor-specific antibody-positive renal allograft recipients

Circulating donor-specific antibodies (DSA) do not necessarily indicate antibody-mediated rejection (ABMR). Here, we evaluated the diagnostic value of donor-derived cell-free DNA (dd-cfDNA) as an add-on to DSA detection. The study included two independent cohorts of DSA⁺ kidney allograft recipients, 45 subclinical cases identified by cross-sectional antibody screening (cohort 1), and 30 recipients subjected to indication biopsies (cohort 2). About 50% of the DSA⁺ recipients had ABMR and displayed higher dd-cfDNA levels than DSA⁺ ABMR^- recipients (cohort 1: 1.90% [median; IQR: 0.78-3.90%] vs. 0.52% [0.35-0.72%]; P < 0.001); (cohort 2: 1.20% [0.82-2.50%] vs. 0.59% [0.28-2.05%]; P = 0.086). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis revealed an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.89 and 0.69 for dd-cfDNA, and 0.88 and 0.77 for DSA mean fluorescence intensity (MFI), respectively. In combined models, adding dd-cfDNA to DSA-MFI or vice versa significantly improved the diagnostic accuracy. Limited diagnostic performance of dd-cfDNA in cohort 2 was related to the frequent finding of other types of graft injury among ABMR^- recipients, like T cell-mediated rejection or glomerulonephritis. For dd-cfDNA in relation to injury of any cause an AUC of 0.97 was calculated. Monitoring of dd-cfDNA in DSA⁺ patients may be a useful tool to detect ABMR and other types of injury.