PIK3CA mutations in plasma circulating tumor DNA predict survival and treatment outcomes in patients with advanced cancers

Background: Oncogenic mutations in PIK3CA are prevalent in diverse cancers and can be targeted with inhibitors of the phosphoinositide-3-kinase/protein kinase B/mammalian target of rapamycin (PI3K/AKT/mTOR) pathway. Analysis of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) provides a minimally invasive approach to detect clinically actionable PIK3CA mutations.

Patients and methods: We analyzed PIK3CA hotspot mutation frequency by droplet digital PCR (QX 200; BioRad) using 16 ng of unamplified plasma-derived cell-free DNA from 68 patients with advanced solid tumors (breast cancer, n = 41; colorectal cancer, n = 13; other tumor types, n = 14). Results quantified as variant allele frequencies (VAFs) were compared with previous testing of archival tumor tissue and with patient outcomes.

Results: Of 68 patients, 58 (85%) had PIK3CA mutations in tumor tissue and 43 (74%) PIK3CA mutations in ctDNA with an overall concordance of 72% (49/68, κ = 0.38). In a subset analysis, which excluded samples from 26 patients known not to have disease progression at the time of sample collection, we found an overall concordance of 91% (38/42; κ = 0.74). PIK3CA-mutated ctDNA VAF of ≤8.5% (5% trimmed mean) showed a longer median survival compared with patients with a higher VAF (15.9 versus 9.4 months; 95% confidence interval 6.7-17.1 months; P = 0.014). Longitudinal analysis of ctDNA in 18 patients with serial plasma collections (range 2-22 time points, median 5) showed that those with a decrease in PIK3CA VAF had a longer time to treatment failure (TTF) compared with patients with an increase or no change (10.7 versus 2.6 months; P = 0.048).

Conclusions: Detection of PIK3CA mutations in ctDNA is concordant with testing of archival tumor tissue. Low quantity of PIK3CA-mutant ctDNA is associated with longer survival and a decrease in PIK3CA-mutant ctDNA on therapy is associated with longer TTF.