The impact of liver fibrosis on microvascular invasion and prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma with a solitary nodule: a Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database analysis

Background: The pathogenesis of non-cirrhotic hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with a high recurrence remains controversial, while microvascular invasion (MVI) is highly suggestive of tumor recurrence. This study aimed to investigate the effects of liver fibrosis on MVI and prognosis in HCC.

Methods: Based on the data of HCC in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database [2004-2015], multivariate logistic regression was used for correlation analysis. Survival was analyzed by Log-Rank test and Cox regression, and decision curve analysis and receiver operating characteristic curves were established to evaluate alternative diagnostic and prognostic strategies.

Results: The study included 1,492 patients with MVI (17.8%) or without MVI (82.2%) for HCC with a solitary nodule. Liver fibrosis was significantly correlated with the occurrence of MVI, and the risk of MVI in patients with a fibrosis score F5-6 was lower than in those with a score of F0-4 (OR =0.651, 95% CI: 0.492-0.860). Combining liver fibrosis could improve the prediction performance of MVI risk models, but liver fibrosis was less associated with survival outcomes in comparison with other tumor characteristics.

Conclusions: Lower liver fibrosis correlated with a higher risk of MVI in HCC with a solitary nodule and was a good indicator for improving the performance of MVI risk models. However, it was not a prognostic sensitive indicator.