Risk of thyroid as a first or second primary cancer. A population-based study in Italy, 1998-2012

Cancer Med. 2021 Oct;10(19):6855-6867. doi: 10.1002/cam4.4193. Epub 2021 Sep 17.

Abstract

Background: The number of patients living after a cancer diagnosis is increasing, especially after thyroid cancer (TC). This study aims at evaluating both the risk of a second primary cancer (SPC) in TC patients and the risk of TC as a SPC.

Methods: We analyzed two population-based cohorts of individuals with TC or other neoplasms diagnosed between 1998 and 2012, in 28 Italian areas covered by population-based cancer registries. Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) of SPC were stratified by sex, age, and time since first cancer.

Results: A total of 38,535 TC patients and 1,329,624 patients with other primary cancers were included. The overall SIR was 1.16 (95% CI: 1.12-1.21) for SPC in TC patients, though no increase was shown for people with follicular (1.06) and medullary (0.95) TC. SPC with significantly increased SIRs was bone/soft tissue (2.0), breast (1.2), prostate (1.4), kidney (2.2), and hemolymphopoietic (1.4) cancers. The overall SIR for TC as a SPC was 1.49 (95% CI: 1.42-1.55), similar for all TC subtypes, and it was significantly increased for people diagnosed with head and neck (2.1), colon-rectum (1.4), lung (1.8), melanoma (2.0), bone/soft tissue (2.8), breast (1.3), corpus uteri (1.4), prostate (1.5), kidney (3.2), central nervous system (2.3), and hemolymphopoietic (1.8) cancers.

Conclusions: The increased risk of TC after many other neoplasms and of few SPC after TC questions the best way to follow-up cancer patients, avoiding overdiagnosis and overtreatment for TC and, possibly, for other malignancies.

Keywords: Italy; cancer survivors; population-based cancer registries; relative risk; second primary cancer; thyroid cancer.

Publication types

  • Historical Article
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Cohort Studies
  • Female
  • History, 20th Century
  • History, 21st Century
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Italy
  • Male
  • Neoplasms, Second Primary / epidemiology
  • Neoplasms, Second Primary / pathology*
  • Registries
  • Risk Factors
  • Thyroid Neoplasms / complications*
  • Thyroid Neoplasms / epidemiology