Estimated number of deaths directly averted in people 60 years and older as a result of COVID-19 vaccination in the WHO European Region, December 2020 to November 2021

Euro Surveill. 2021 Nov;26(47):2101021. doi: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2021.26.47.2101021.

Abstract

Since December 2019, over 1.5 million SARS-CoV-2-related fatalities have been recorded in the World Health Organization European Region - 90.2% in people ≥ 60 years. We calculated lives saved in this age group by COVID-19 vaccination in 33 countries from December 2020 to November 2021, using weekly reported deaths and vaccination coverage. We estimated that vaccination averted 469,186 deaths (51% of 911,302 expected deaths; sensitivity range: 129,851-733,744; 23-62%). Impact by country ranged 6-93%, largest when implementation was early.

Keywords: COVID-19; deaths averted; expected mortality; older age groups; vaccination coverage; vaccination programs.

MeSH terms

  • COVID-19 Vaccines*
  • COVID-19*
  • Humans
  • SARS-CoV-2
  • Vaccination
  • World Health Organization

Substances

  • COVID-19 Vaccines