First-Line Pembrolizumab Mono- or Combination Therapy of Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer: Baseline Metabolic Biomarkers Predict Outcomes

Quantitative biomarkers derived from positron-emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) have been suggested as prognostic variables in immune-checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) treated non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). As such, data for first-line ICI therapy and especially for chemotherapy-ICI combinations are still scarce, we retrospectively evaluated baseline ¹⁸F-FDG-PET/CT of 85 consecutive patients receiving first-line pembrolizumab with chemotherapy (n = 70) or as monotherapy (n = 15). Maximum and mean standardized uptake value, total metabolic tumor volume (MTV), total lesion glycolysis, bone marrow-/and spleen to liver ratio (BLR/SLR) were calculated. Kaplan-Meier analyses and Cox regression models were used to assess progression-free/overall survival (PFS/OS) and their determinant variables. Median follow-up was 12 months (M; 95% confidence interval 10-14). Multivariate selection for PFS/OS revealed MTV as most relevant PET/CT biomarker (p < 0.001). Median PFS/OS were significantly longer in patients with MTV ≤ 70 mL vs. >70 mL (PFS: 10 M (4-16) vs. 4 M (3-5), p = 0.001; OS: not reached vs. 10 M (5-15), p = 0.004). Disease control rate was 81% vs. 53% for MTV ≤/> 70 mL (p = 0.007). BLR ≤ 1.06 vs. >1.06 was associated with better outcomes (PFS: 8 M (4-13) vs. 4 M (3-6), p = 0.034; OS: 19 M (12-/) vs. 6 M (4-12), p = 0.005). In patients with MTV > 70 mL, concomitant BLR ≤ 1.06 indicated a better prognosis. Higher MTV is associated with inferior PFS/OS in first-line ICI-treated NSCLC, with BLR allowing additional risk stratification.