NetworkSIR and EnvironmentalSIR: Effective, Open-Source Epidemic Modeling in the Absence of Data

AMIA Annu Symp Proc. 2022 Feb 21:2021:1009-1018. eCollection 2021.

Abstract

The rapidly changing situation characterized by the COVID-19 pandemic highlighted a need for new epidemic modeling strategies. Due to an absence of computationally efficient models robust to paucity of reliable data, we developed NetworkSIR, a model capable of making predictions when only the approximate population density is known. We then extend NetworkSIR to capture the effect of indirect disease spread on the progression of an epidemic (EnvironmentalSIR).

MeSH terms

  • COVID-19* / epidemiology
  • Humans
  • Pandemics*