Comparison of lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio with Child-Pugh and PELD/MELD scores to predict the outcome of children with cirrhosis

Aim of the study: Prognostic scores are highly needed to properly manage children with cirrhosis and improve their clinical outcomes. The relationship between lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) at the time of admission to hospital and outcome of cirrhosis has been studied in adults, but to the best of our knowledge, there is no study regarding its utility as a prognostic marker of poor outcome in children with cirrhosis. Thus, this study aimed to investigate the potential prognostic value of LMR in such patients.

Material and methods: At the time of admission, LMR, Child-Pugh, and Pediatric End-stage Liver Disease/Model for End-stage Liver Disease (PELD/MELD) scores were calculated for 114 children with cirrhosis. LMR and PELD/MELD and Child-Pugh scores were compared between the survivor and non-survivor groups. Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed and the cutoff values were calculated using the Youden index.

Results: It was found that LMR had a strong negative correlation with PELD/MELD (r = -0.87, p = 0.36) and a weak negative correlation with Child-Pugh scores (r = -0.046, p = 0.63). The highest area under the curve (AUC) was found for LMR (0.861). The AUC was also good for PELD/MELD scores (0.804). The AUC values for LMR in patients under and above 6 years old were 0.675 (95% CI: 0.462-0.888) (p = 0.111) and 0.926 (95% CI: 0.852-1.000) (p < 0.001), respectively. The PELD/MELD scores were significantly higher in the low LMR group than in the high LMR group (p = 0.001).

Conclusions: LMR can be used to determine the outcome of cirrhotic children older than 6 years during the hospital stay because it is easy to calculate and its efficacy is comparable to PELD/MELD scores. Meanwhile, further studies are needed to confirm these preliminary results.