Prognostic and Predictive Role of PD-L1 Expression in Stage III Non-small Cell Lung Cancer Treated With Definitive Chemoradiation and Adjuvant Durvalumab

Purpose: It is unclear whether programmed death ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression is prognostic or predictive of immunotherapy benefit among patients with stage III non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) treated with definitive chemoradiation and adjuvant durvalumab.

Methods and materials: We determined pretreatment tumor PD-L1 expression for 312 patients with stage III NSCLC treated with definitive chemoradiation and at least 1 dose of adjuvant durvalumab between November 2017 and April 2021 across the national Veterans Health Administration. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) in PD-L1 expression subgroups (<1%, 1%-49%, and 50%-100%) were compared with 994 patients with stage III NSCLC treated without adjuvant durvalumab from 2015 to 2016.

Results: PD-L1 expression was <1%, 1% to 49%, and 50% to 100% in 109 (34.9%), 96 (30.7%), and 107 (34.3%) patients, respectively. Increasing PD-L1 expression was associated with longer PFS (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.84 per 25% absolute increase in expression; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.75-0.94; P = .003) and OS (aHR, 0.86 per 25% absolute increase in expression; 95% CI, 0.74-0.99; P = .036). Compared with the no-durvalumab group, PFS was longer for PD-L1 50% to 100% (aHR, 0.44; 95% CI, 0.32-0.60; P < .001) and PD-L1 1% to 49% (aHR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.47-0.86; P = .003) but not PD-L1 <1% (aHR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.64-1.10; P = .19). Similar results were found for OS, with no significant difference between the no-durvalumab group and PD-L1 <1% (aHR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.58-1.13; P = .22).

Conclusions: Increasing tumor PD-L1 expression is prognostic for PFS and OS among patients with stage III NSCLC treated with adjuvant durvalumab, and patients with PD-L1 expression <1% may have limited benefit from adjuvant durvalumab.