MRI-radiomics-clinical-based nomogram for prenatal prediction of the placenta accreta spectrum disorders

Objectives: To investigate whether an MRI-radiomics-clinical-based nomogram can be used to prenatal predict the placenta accreta spectrum (PAS) disorders.

Methods: The pelvic MR images and clinical data of 156 pregnant women with pathologic-proved PAS (PAS group) and 115 pregnant women with no PAS (non-PAS group) identified by clinical and prenatal ultrasonic examination were retrospectively collected from two centers. These pregnancies were divided into a training (n = 133), an independent validation (n = 57), and an external validation (n = 81) cohort. Radiomic features were extracted from images of transverse oblique T2-weighted imaging. A radiomics signature was constructed. A nomogram, composed of MRI morphological findings, radiomic features, and prenatal clinical characteristics, was developed. The discrimination and calibration of the nomogram were conducted to assess its performance.

Results: A radiomics signature, including three PAS-related features, was associated with the presence of PAS in the three cohorts (p < 0.001 to p = 0.001). An MRI-radiomics-clinical nomogram incorporating radiomics signature, two prenatal clinical features, and two MRI morphological findings was developed, yielding a higher area under the curve (AUC) than that of the MRI morphological-determined PAS in the training cohort (0.89 vs. 0.78; p < 0.001) and external validation cohort (0.87 vs. 0.75; p = 0.003), while a comparable AUC value in the validation cohort (0.91 vs. 0.81; p = 0.09). The calibration was good.

Conclusions: An MRI-radiomics-clinical nomogram had a robust performance in antenatal predicting the PAS in pregnancies.

Key points: • An MRI-radiomics-clinical-based nomogram might serve as an adjunctive approach for the treatment decision-making in pregnancies suspicious of PAS. • The radiomic score provides a mathematical formula that predicts the possibility of PAS by using the MRI data, and pregnant women with PAS had higher radiomic scores than those without PAS.