Prognostic significance of 24-h blood pressure and variability indices in the outcome of acute ischaemic stroke

Background: The association between blood pressure (BP) levels and BP variability (BPV) following acute ischaemic stroke (AIS) and outcome remains controversial.

Aims: To investigate the predictive value of systolic BP (SBP) and diastolic BP (DBP) and BPV measured using 24-h ambulatory blood pressure monitoring (ABPM) methods during AIS regarding outcome.

Methods: A total of 228 AIS patients (175 without prior disability) underwent ABPM every 20 min within 48 h from onset using an automated oscillometric device (TM 2430, A&D Company Ltd) during day time (7:00-22:59) and night time (23:00-6:59). Risk factors, stroke subtypes, clinical and laboratory findings were recorded. Mean BP parameters and several BPV indices were calculated. End-points were death and unfavourable functional outcome (disability/death) at 3 months.

Results: A total of 61 (26.7%) patients eventually died. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that only mean night-time DBP (hazard ratio (HR): 1.04; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.00-1.07) was an independent prognostic factor of death. Of the 175 patients without prior disability, 79 (45.1%) finally met the end-point of unfavourable functional outcome. Mean 24-h SBP (HR: 1.03; 95% CI: 1.00-1.05), day-time SBP (HR: 1.02; 95% CI: 1.00-1.05) and night-time SBP (HR: 1.03; 95% CI: 1.01-1.05), SBP nocturnal decline (HR: 0.93; 95% CI: 0.88-0.99), mean 24-h DBP (HR: 1.08; 95% CI: 1.03-1.13), day-time DBP (HR: 1.07; 95% CI: 1.03-1.12) and night-time DBP (HR: 1.06; 95% CI: 1.02-1.10) were independent prognostic factors of an unfavourable functional outcome.

Conclusions: In contrast with BPV indices, ABPM-derived BP levels and lower or absence of BP nocturnal decline in the acute phase are prognostic factors of outcome in AIS patients.