Assessing the cardiovascular risk in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus: QRISK and GAPSS scores head-to-head

Objectives: We aimed to apply and compare the QRISK3 and the adjusted Global AntiPhospholipid Syndrome (APS) Score (aGAPSS) in a cohort of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) patients, with and without a concomitant diagnosis of APS, in order to assess their augmented risk of developing cardiovascular diseases (CVDs).

Methods: Patients (25-85 yo) with a diagnosis of SLE and/or of Secondary APS (SAPS) were included. QRISK3 was calculated using the official online calculator; aGAPSS using the validated point-values based on aPL-profile and independent risk factors.

Results: The cohort included 142 SLE patients: 34 SAPS (23.9%) and 108 SLE patients without APS (76.1%).When considering all the cohort, patients with cerebrovascular/coronary events showed higher values of aGAPSS (10.1 ± 6.2 vs. 5.8 ± 6.1; p = 0.007), but not of the QRISK3. Furthermore, a significant association was observed between the occurrence of these events and high-risk aGAPSS: p = 0.03 for aGAPSS≥8, p = 0.01 for aGAPSS ≥9, p = 0.008 for aGAPSS ≥10. aGAPSS strongly correlated with the occurrence of any thrombotic event, both at the uni- and multivariate analysis (p = 0.012 and p = 0.009). Male gender also resulted to positively correlate with the occurrence of any thrombotic event at both uni- and multivariate analysis (p = 0.017 and p = 0.03). Focusing on aPL-profile, regardless the diagnosis, we found a statistical significance only for aGAPSS (aPL+ =9.6 ± 6.3 vs. aPL- = 4.1 ± 5.1; p < 0.001).

Conclusions: Despite QRISK3 being more accurate than traditional risk score in predicting CVD risk in SLE patients, aGAPSS appears to be the most valuable tool for this purpose.