Predictors of mortality in patients with COVID-19 infection in different health-care settings: A retrospective analysis from a CORACLE study group

Background: Despite the large number of hospitalized patients affected by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection, few data are available about risk factors and mortality in subjects with nosocomially acquired respiratory infection of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19).

Methods: We retrospectively evaluated in a multicentric study -during the pre-vaccination era-all patients admitted with confirmed diagnosis of nosocomial COVID-19 (NC). Patients were classified according to provenance: hospital-acquired NC or long-term care (LTC) facilities.

Results: Among overall 1047 patients evaluated with COVID-19, 137 had a confirmed diagnosis of NC (13%). 78 (56.9%) patients had hospital-acquired NC and 59 (43%) had LTC NC. Overall mortality was 35.8%, in hospital-acquired NC 24.4%, in LTC NC 50.8% (p < 0.001) (Log Rank test: p = 0.001). Timing of diagnosis was significantly different between hospital acquired and LTC NC (3.5 vs 10 days, p < 0.001). In multivariate analysis age, intensive-care unit admission, LTC provenance and sepsis were significant predictors of mortality in patients with NC infection.

Conclusion: Patients with NC are at higher risk of mortality (especially for LTC NC) and required preventive strategies, early diagnosis, and treatment to avoid COVID-19 cluster.