Individual and community-level factors of abortion in East Africa: a multilevel analysis

Background: Abortion is one of the top five causes of maternal mortality in low and middle-income countries. It is associated with a complication related to pregnancy and childbirth. Despite this, there was limited evidence on the prevalence and associated factors of abortion in East African countries. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the prevalence and associated factors of abortion among reproductive-aged women in East African countries.

Methods: The Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) data of 12 East African countries was used. A total weighted sample of 431,518 reproductive-age women was included in the analysis. Due to the hierarchical nature of the DHS data, a multilevel binary logistic regression model was applied. Both crude and Adjusted Odds Ratio (AOR) with 95% Confidence Interval (CI) was calculated for potential associated factors of abortion in East Africa. In the final model, variables with a p value < 0.05 were declared as statistically significant factors of abortion.

Results: Around 5.96% (95%CI: 4.69, 7.22) of reproductive-aged women in East Africa had a history of abortion. Alcohol use, tobacco or cigarette smoking, being single, poorer wealth index, currently working, traditional family planning methods, and media exposure were associated with a higher risk of abortion. However, higher parity, having optimum birth intervals, and modern contraceptive uses were associated with lower odds of abortion.

Conclusions: The prevalence of abortion among reproductive-aged women in East Africa was high. Abortion was affected by various socio-economic and obstetrical factors. Therefore, it is better to consider the high-risk groups during the intervention to prevent the burdens associated with abortion.