Mendelian randomization prioritizes abdominal adiposity as an independent causal factor for liver fat accumulation and cardiometabolic diseases

Background: Observational studies have linked adiposity and especially abdominal adiposity to liver fat accumulation and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. These traits are also associated with type 2 diabetes and coronary artery disease but the causal factor(s) underlying these associations remain unexplored.

Methods: We used a multivariable Mendelian randomization study design to determine whether body mass index and waist circumference were causally associated with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease using publicly available genome-wide association study summary statistics of the UK Biobank (n = 461,460) and of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (8434 cases and 770,180 control). A multivariable Mendelian randomization study design was also used to determine the respective causal contributions of waist circumference and liver fat (n = 32,858) to type 2 diabetes and coronary artery disease.

Results: Using multivariable Mendelian randomization we show that waist circumference increase non-alcoholic fatty liver disease risk even when accounting for body mass index (odd ratio per 1-standard deviation increase = 2.35 95% CI = 1.31-4.22, p = 4.2e-03), but body mass index does not increase non-alcoholic fatty liver disease risk when accounting for waist circumference (0.86 95% CI = 0.54-1.38, p = 5.4e-01). In multivariable Mendelian randomization analyses accounting for liver fat, waist circumference remains strongly associated with both type 2 diabetes (3.27 95% CI = 2.89-3.69, p = 3.8e-80) and coronary artery disease (1.66 95% CI = 1.54-1.8, p = 3.4e-37).

Conclusions: These results identify waist circumference as a strong, independent, and causal contributor to non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, type 2 diabetes and coronary artery disease, thereby highlighting the importance of assessing body fat distribution for the prediction and prevention of cardiometabolic diseases.