Glucagon-like peptide 1-receptor agonists and A1c: Good for the heart but less so for the eyes?

Background and aims: Glucagon-like peptide1-receptor agonists (GLP1-RA) decrease major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in people with type 2 diabetes mellitus and cardiovascular disease (CVD). Caution is recommended for semaglutide and dulaglutide with risk of exacerbating diabetic retinopathy (DR). Analyses were performed to determine if worsening of DR was dependent on drug class or fall in A1c.

Research design and methods: Meta-analyses and meta-regressions (MR) were performed on the 7 major cardiovascular outcome trial (CVOTs) (n = 56004 patients) of GLP1-RA. A second analysis of 11 studies (n = 11894 subjects) with semaglutide documenting DR followed.

Results: Six of the CVOTs evaluated DR. For the GLP1-RA class, there was no increase in the relative rate (rr) for retinopathy (rr = 1.09,95%CI; 0.925,1.289, p = 0.30), with only an increase with parenteral semaglutide (rr = 1.73; 1.10:2.71, p = 0.02). MR showed that decreases in A1c correlated with decreases in MACE (log rr = 0.364∗(Δ A1c), p = 0.014), but increases in DR (log rr= (-0.67∗(ΔA1c), p = 0.076). The change in DR was predominantly found for subcutaneous semaglutide given for >1 year (rr = 1.559,1.068,2.276, p = 0.022) and with decreases in A1c > 1.0% (rr = 1.59; 1.092,2.316, p = 0.016). For the class of GLP1-RA, the rate difference (rd) for worsening retinopathy was = 0.001 (and number needed to harm [NNH] = 1000) compared with rd for MACE = -0.013 (number needed to treat [NNT] = 77). The computation for semaglutide was NNH = 77 and NNT = 43.

Conclusions: This meta-analysis may assist in decisions balancing the relative risk (of existing retinopathy) versus benefits (to existing CVD). There should be close collaboration with ophthalmology to grade the baseline degree of retinopathy when initiating and following patients.