Can money supply endogeneity influence bank stock returns? A case study of South Asian economies

Environ Dev Sustain. 2022 Dec 31:1-13. doi: 10.1007/s10668-022-02867-6. Online ahead of print.

Abstract

This study tests the Post-Keynesian theory regarding bank stock returns and money supply endogeneity in the context of South Asian countries. This study uses panel data set from different sources over twenty-eight (28) years. The research uses different econometric techniques before switching to the generalized method of moments (GMM). The empirical results indicate a significant positive effect of net interest rate margins on bank loans in South Asian countries, whereas a positive relationship exists between foreign to local interest rates and the money supply. The findings depict that positive associations exist between inflation and money supply of banks, and between the money supply and bank stock returns. More specifically, the GMM results show that the money supply has positively affected the stock prices of banks suggesting strong policies for the stakeholders of these economies for the sake of economic growth and sustainable development.

Keywords: Bank deposits; Economic growth; Money supply endogeneity; Post-Keynesian theory; South Asian economies; Stock returns.

Publication types

  • Review