Glycemia is associated with subclinical atherosclerosis through renal function in nondiabetic apparently healthy adults: a mediation analysis

The causative associations between glycemia and early alterations in renal and vascular function remain unclear. To examine the interplay among glycemia, renal function, and markers of subclinical atherosclerosis in apparently healthy subjects. Nondiabetic (30-60 years old) individuals (n = 205) without chronic kidney disease or cardiovascular disease were consecutively recruited from a cardiovascular prevention clinic. All subjects underwent arterial stiffness assessment by measuring the carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (cfPWV). Glomerular filtration rate (GFR) was estimated by CKD-EPI equation. Study procedures were identical in the two visits (median follow-up 66 months). We employed structural equation modeling (SEM) analysis to investigate the directionality of associations. Baseline fasting plasma glucose (FPG) was independently and inversely associated with GFR (p = 0.008). GFR was significantly associated with cfPWV (p < 0.001) at baseline. By SEM analysis decreasing baseline GFR directly correlated with increasing cfPWV (p = 0.003) whereas FPG correlated with cfPWV indirectly through GFR (mediation) (P = 0.032). FPG did not mediate the effect of GFR on cfPWV (P = 0.768). SEM analysis of longitudinal data revealed bidirectional correlations between changes in FPG and GFR (P < 0.001). Alterations in GFR were directly related to changes in cfPWV (p < 0.001) whereas FPG only indirectly correlated with cfPWV through GFR changes (P = 0.002). In apparently healthy nondiabetic subjects, the association between baseline or longitudinal glycemia levels and arterial stiffening was indirect, consistently mediated by renal function status. These findings provide the first clinical evidence supporting the directionality between kidney function and glycemia in nondiabetic subjects leading to vascular dysfunction. In apparently healthy nondiabetic subjects, without cardiovascular disease or chronic kidney disease, the association between baseline or longitudinal glycemia levels and arterial stiffening was indirect, consistently mediated by renal function status.