Potential utility of a multi-component coagulation factor panel to calculate MELD scores and assess the risk of portal vein thrombosis in chronic liver disease

Background: Current quantitative approaches to assess chronic liver disease (CLD) severity have limitations. Further, portal vein thrombosis (PVT) pre-liver transplant (LT) is a major contributor to morbidity in CLD; the means of detecting and/or predicting PVT are limited. We sought to explore whether plasma coagulation factor activity levels can serve as a substitute for prothrombin time/international normalized ratio (PT/INR) in the Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD), and/or help assess the risk of PVT.

Methods: Plasma activity levels of Factor V (FV), Factor VIII (FVIII), Protein C (PC), and Protein S (PS) and the concentrations of D-dimer, sP-selectin, and asTF were assessed in two cohorts of CLD patients (ambulatory, n = 42; LT, n = 43).

Results: FV and PC activity levels strongly correlated with MELD scores, which enabled the development of a novel scoring system based on multiple linear regressions of the correlations of FV and PC activity with MELD-Na that substitutes PT/INR. Six-month and 1-year follow-up revealed that our novel approach was non-inferior to MELD-Na at predicting mortality. A significant inverse correlation between FVIII activity levels and PVT was found in the LT cohort (p = 0.010); FV and PS activity levels were in-trend (p = 0.069, p = 0.064). We developed a logistic regression-based compensation score to identify patients at risk of PVT.

Conclusions: We demonstrate that FV and PC activity levels may be used to replace PT/INR in MELD scoring. We also show the potential of using the combination of FV, FVIII, and PS activity levels to assess the risk of PVT in CLD.