Higher Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR) Is a Preoperative Inflammation Biomarker of Poor Prognosis in HIV-Infected Patients with Colorectal Cancer: A Retrospective Study

Background: The serum systemic inflammation biomarkers are known predictors of colorectal cancer (CRC) patient prognosis. However, their significance in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected patients with CRC has not been studied. To address this gap, we conducted a retrospective study to evaluate the prognostic value of preoperative systemic inflammation biomarkers in HIV-infected patients with CRC.

Methods: The study enrolled 57 patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) and HIV who underwent surgery at the Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center between January 2015 and December 2021. Preoperative tests were conducted, and systemic inflammation biomarkers were measured. The patients were categorized into two groups using the optimal cut-off value. The Kaplan-Meier method and the log-rank test were used to determine overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). Multivariate analysis was performed using the Cox proportional regression model. A time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (t-ROC) was used to compare the prognostic abilities of the biomarkers.

Results: The study included 57 HIV-infected CRC patients, with a median age of 60 and a follow-up time ranging from 3 to 86 months. Of the patients, 49 were male and 8 were female. The cumulative three-year OS and PFS rates were 55.0% and 45.0%, respectively. The optimal cut-off value for preoperative NLR was found to be 2.8, which was significantly correlated with lower CD8+ T and CD3+ T lymphocyte counts. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that a low NLR was an independent predictor of better OS and PFS (OS: HR = 0.094, 95% CI: 0.02-0.45, P=0.003; PFS: HR = 0.265, 95% CI: 0.088-0.8, P=0.019). The time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (t-ROC) analysis showed that NLR was a superior systemic inflammation biomarker for predicting the prognosis of HIV-infected CRC patients throughout the observation period.

Conclusion: The preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), an easily measurable immune biomarker, may provide useful prognostic information in HIV-infected colorectal cancer (CRC) patients.