Predictors of Five-Year Survival after EVAR: 10-Year Experience of Single-Center Cohort Study

Background: Endovascular abdominal aortic repair (EVAR) is the main therapeutic option for repairing abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs). We aimed to determine the long-term outcomes of patients who underwent EVAR at our center.

Methods: In this retrospective cohort study, patients who underwent EVAR for intact isolated AAA at Tehran Heart Center between 2007 and 2017 were included. Clinical outcomes and the frequency of mortality were analyzed for follow-up periods. We calculated the 5-year survival rate and its predictors for our patients using Kaplan-Meier estimation.

Results: We included the data of all patients (154 patients, mean age = 70.7 [± 8.0] years, 96.1% men) who successfully underwent EVAR at our center. The most common risk factors were coronary artery disease (70.1%), hypertension (68.2%), smoking (64.9%), and dyslipidemia (39.6%). There was no mortality during the procedure. The median follow-up was 65.5 months. An average decrease of 9.07 mm (95% confidence interval: 6.9-11.2) occurred in the size of the AAA. During follow-up, 12 patients developed some complications, 49 died, and 7 did not complete the follow-up. The 5-year survival rate was 75% (3.9%). The independent predictors for 5-year survival were age (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.06, P = 0.002) and anemia (HR = 1.91, P = 0.029). Despite not being statistically significant, dyslipidemia (HR = 0.573, P = 0.078) and long intensive care unit/cardiac care unit stays (HR = 1.08, P = 0.070) were borderline mortality predictors.

Conclusions: This study depicted an acceptable survival rate for patients who underwent EVAR at our center. Age and anemia, 2 modifiable predictors of 5-year survival, can probably prolong the survival rate of patients, which requires evaluation later.