Predictive value of computed tomography on surgical resectability in locally advanced pancreatic cancer treated with multiagent induction chemotherapy: Results from a prospective, multicentre phase 2 trial (NEOLAP-AIO-PAK-0113)

Purpose: To assess the role of current imaging-based resectability criteria and the degree of radiological downsizing in locally advanced pancreatic adenocarcinoma (LAPC) after multiagent induction chemotherapy (ICT) in multicentre, open-label, randomized phase 2 trial.

Method: LAPC patients were prospectively treated with multiagent ICT followed by surgical exploration within the NEOLAP trial. All patients underwent CT scan at baseline and after ICT to assess resectability status according to national comprehensive cancer network guidelines (NCCN) criteria and response evaluation criteria in solid tumors (RECIST) at the local study center and retrospectively in a central review. Imaging results were compared in terms of local and central staging, downsizing and pathological resection status.

Results: 83 patients were evaluable for central review of baseline and restaging imaging results. Downstaging by central review was rarely seen after multiagent ICT (7.7%), whereas tumor downsizing was documented frequently (any downsizing 90.4%, downsizing to partial response (PR) according to RECIST: 26.5%). Patients with any downsizing showed no significant different R0 resection rate (37.3%) as patients that fulfilled the criteria of PR (40.9%). The sensitivity of any downsizing for predicting R0 resection was 97% with a negative predictive value (NPV) of 0.88. ROC-analysis revealed that tumor downsizing was a predictor of R0 resection (AUC 0.647, p = 0.028) with a best cut-off value of 22.5% downsizing yielding a sensitivity of 65% and a specificity of 61%.

Conclusions: Imaging-based tumor downsizing and not downstaging can guide the selection of patients with a realistic chance of R0-resection in LAPC after multi-agent ICT.