Epidemiology, characteristics, and outcomes of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure in Australia

Background and aim: Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is distinct from acute decompensation (AD) of cirrhosis in its clinical presentation, pathophysiology, and prognosis. There are limited published Australian ACLF data.

Methods: We performed a single-center retrospective cohort study of all adults with cirrhosis admitted with a decompensating event to a liver transplantation (LT) centre between 2015 and 2020. ACLF was defined using the European Association for the Study of the Liver-Chronic Liver Failure (EASL-CLIF) definition while those who did not meet the definition were classified as AD. The primary outcome of interest was 90-day LT-free survival.

Results: A total of 615 patients had 1039 admissions for a decompensating event. On their index admission, 34% (209/615) of patients were classified as ACLF. Median admission model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and MELD-Na scores were higher in ACLF patients compared with AD (21 vs 17 and 25 vs 20 respectively, both P < 0.001). Both the presence and severity of ACLF (grade ≥ 2) significantly predicted worse LT-free survival compared with patients with AD. The EASL-CLIF ACLF score (CLIF-C ACLF), MELD and MELD-Na scores performed similarly in predicting 90-day mortality. Patients with index ACLF had a higher risk of 28-day mortality (28.1% vs 5.1%, P < 0.001) and shorter times to readmission compared with those with AD.

Conclusion: ACLF complicates over a third of hospital admissions for cirrhosis with decompensating events and is associated with a high short-term mortality. The presence and grade of ACLF predicts 90-day mortality and should be identified as those at greatest risk of poor outcome without intervention such as LT.