Body weight loss as a prognostic and predictive factor in previously treated patients with metastatic gastric cancer: post hoc analyses of the randomized phase III TAGS trial

Background: Body weight loss (BWL) is a negative prognostic factor in metastatic gastric or gastroesophageal junction cancer (mGC/GEJC). In the phase III TAGS study, trifluridine/tipiracil improved survival versus placebo in third- or later-line mGC/GEJC. These retrospective analyses examined the association of early BWL with survival outcomes in TAGS.

Methods: Efficacy and safety were assessed in patients who experienced < 3% or ≥ 3% BWL from treatment start until day 1 of cycle 2 (early BWL). The effect of early BWL on overall survival (OS) was assessed by univariate and multivariate analyses.

Results: Body weight data were available for 451 of 507 (89%) patients in TAGS. In the trifluridine/tipiracil and placebo arms, respectively, 74% (224/304) and 65% (95/147) experienced < 3% BWL, whereas 26% (80/304) and 35% (52/147) experienced ≥ 3% BWL at cycle 1 end. Median OS was longer in < 3% BWL versus ≥ 3% BWL subgroups (6.5 vs 4.9 months for trifluridine/tipiracil; 6.0 vs 2.5 months for placebo). In univariate analyses, an unadjusted HR of 0.58 (95% CI, 0.46-0.73) for the < 3% vs ≥ 3% BWL subgroup indicated a strong prognostic effect of early BWL. Multivariate analyses confirmed early BWL as both prognostic (P < 0.0001) and predictive (interaction P = 0.0003) for OS. Similar results were obtained for progression-free survival. Any-cause grade ≥ 3 adverse events were reported in 77% and 82% of trifluridine/tipiracil-treated and 45% and 67% of placebo-treated patients with < 3% and ≥ 3% BWL, respectively.

Conclusions: In TAGS, early BWL was a strong negative prognostic factor for OS in patients with mGC/GEJC receiving third- or later-line treatment.