Higher hemoglobin levels using darbepoetin alfa and kidney outcomes in advanced chronic kidney disease without diabetes: a prespecified secondary analysis of the PREDICT trial

Background: In the primary analysis of the PREDICT trial, a higher hemoglobin target (11-13 g/dl) with darbepoetin alfa did not improve renal outcomes compared with a lower hemoglobin target (9-11 g/dl) in advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) without diabetes. Prespecified secondary analyses were performed to further study the effects of targeting higher hemoglobin levels on renal outcomes.

Methods: Patients with an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) 8-20 ml/min/1.73 m² without diabetes were randomly assigned 1:1 to the high- and low-hemoglobin groups. The differences between the groups were evaluated for the following endpoints and cohort sets: eGFR and proteinuria slopes, assessed using a mixed-effects model in the full analysis set and the per-protocol set that excluded patients with off-target hemoglobin levels; the primary endpoint of composite renal outcome, evaluated in the per-protocol set using the Cox model.

Results: In the full analysis set (high hemoglobin, n = 239; low hemoglobin, n = 240), eGFR and proteinuria slopes were not significantly different between the groups. In the per-protocol set (high hemoglobin, n = 136; low hemoglobin, n = 171), the high-hemoglobin group was associated with reduced composite renal outcome (adjusted hazard ratio: 0.64; 95% confidence interval: 0.43-0.96) and an improved eGFR slope (coefficient: + 1.00 ml/min/1.73 m²/year; 95% confidence interval: 0.38-1.63), while the proteinuria slope did not differ between the groups.

Conclusions: In the per-protocol set, the high-hemoglobin group demonstrated better kidney outcomes than the low-hemoglobin group, suggesting a potential benefit of maintaining higher hemoglobin levels in patients with advanced CKD without diabetes.

Clinical trial registration: Clinicaltrials.gov (identifier: NCT01581073).