The Validation and Modification of the Caprini Risk Assessment Model for Evaluating Venous Thromboembolism after Joint Arthroplasty

Background: The Caprini risk assessment model (RAM) is the most commonly used tool for evaluating venous thromboembolism (VTE) risk, a high score for arthroplasty can result in patients being classified as high risk for VTE. Therefore, its value in post-arthroplasty has been subject to debate.

Methods: Retrospective data were collected from patients who underwent arthroplasty between August 2015 and December 2021. The study cohort included 3,807 patients, all of whom underwent a thorough evaluation using Caprini RAM and vascular Doppler ultrasonography preoperatively.

Results: A total of 432 individuals (11.35%) developed VTE, while 3,375 did not. Furthermore, 32 (0.84%) presented with symptomatic VTE, while 400 (10.51%) were detected as asymptomatic. Additionally, 368 (9.67%) VTE events occurred during the hospitalization period, and 64 (1.68%) cases were detected during postdischarge follow-up. Statistical analysis revealed significant differences between the VTE and non-VTE groups in terms of ages, blood loss, D-dimer, body mass index >25, visible varicose veins, swollen legs, smoking, history of blood clots, broken hip, percent of female, hypertension, and knee joint arthroplasty (p < 0.05). The Caprini score was found to be significantly higher in the VTE group (10.10 ± 2.23) compared with the non-VTE group (9.35 ± 2.14) (p < 0.001). Furthermore, there was a significant correlation between the incidence of VTE and the Caprini score (r = 0.775, p = 0.003). Patients with a score ≥9 are at a high-risk threshold for postoperative VTE.

Conclusion: The Caprini RAM shows a significant correlation with the occurrence of VTE. A higher score indicates a greater likelihood of developing VTE. The score ≥9 is at particularly high risk of developing VTE.