Clinical Factors Associated With Long-Term OCT Variability in Glaucoma

Purpose: To examine clinical factors associated with long-term optical coherence tomography (OCT)-measured retinal nerve fiber layer thickness (RNFLT) variability in glaucoma.

Study design: Retrospective cohort study.

Methods: Glaucoma eyes from Diagnostic Innovations in Glaucoma Study (DIGS)/the African Descent and Glaucoma Evaluation Study (ADAGES) with ≥2-years and 4-visit follow-up were included. RNFLT variability was calculated per visit as the absolute error of optic nerve head RNFLT residuals across longitudinal follow-up. Clinical factors examined included general demographics, baseline ocular measurements, prior and intervening cataract extraction (CE) or glaucoma surgery, scan quality, baseline RNFLT and RNFLT thinning rate, follow-up duration, and visit/testing frequency. Three multivariable linear mixed models (full model, baseline model, and parsimonious model) were fit to evaluate the effects of clinical factors on RNFLT variability, with 10-fold cross-validation to estimate real-world model performance.

Results: A total of 1140 eyes (634 patients) were included. The overall mean (95% CI) RNFLT variability was 1.51(1.45, 1.58) µm. Across different models, African American race (β [standard error {SE} = 0.18 [0.06]), intervening CE (β [SE] = 0.52 [0.07]), intervening glaucoma surgeries (β [SE] = 0.15 [0.03]), and more positive RNFLT thinning rate (β [SE] = 0.06 [0.02] per 1 µm/y more positive) showed consistent association with greater RNFLT variability, whereas more frequent visits/testing (β [SE] = -0.11[0.05] per 1 visit/y higher) was associated with smaller RNFLT variability (P < .05 for all).

Conclusions: Relevant clinical factors affecting long-term RNFLT variability in glaucoma were identified. These data enhance the evaluation of longitudinal structural change. Increasing the testing frequency, especially in eyes at risk for higher measurement variability, and resetting of baseline imaging after intervening procedures may help to more reliably detect OCT progression.