Identification of a Predictive Genomic Biomarker for Prostate-directed Therapy in Synchronous Low-volume Metastatic Castration-sensitive Prostate Cancer

Background: Standard of care management for synchronous metastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer (mCSPC) includes androgen deprivation therapy with a second-generation antiandrogen therapy and/or docetaxel. Recently, randomized data have demonstrated that prostate-directed therapy (PDT) is associated with an improvement in overall survival (OS) among patients with low-volume metastatic disease. Tumor genomics represents an additional dimension to define the clinical trajectory of patients with mCSPC.

Objective: To evaluate a high-risk (HiRi) genomic signature to predict the benefit from PDT.

Design, setting, and participants: We performed a single-institution retrospective review of men with synchronous low-volume mCSPC who underwent DNA panel sequencing of their tumor. Patients were classified according to the presence of HiRi mutation including pathogenic mutations in TP53, ATM, BRCA1, BRCA2, or Rb1.

Outcome measurements and statistical analysis: The primary endpoint was to determine the effect of PDT on OS in patients with and without a HiRi mutation. A survival analysis was performed with the Kaplan-Meier method compared with log-rank test and multivariable Cox regression. The interaction between HiRi mutation and PDT was evaluated.

Results and limitations: A total of 101 patients with synchronous low-volume CSPC were included with a median follow-up of 44 mo. Approximately half of patients were found to have a HiRi pathogenic mutation (49%). Patients with HiRi mutations demonstrated median OS of 73 versus 66.8 mo (p = 0.3) for no PDT versus PDT. Conversely, patients without a HiRi mutation demonstrated a significant improvement in OS of 60 versus 105.3 mo (p < 0.001) for no PDT versus PDT. The p value for interaction for OS between PDT and HiRi mutation was statistically significant (p < 0.001). Limitations include the retrospective nature of the study.

Conclusions: Here, we have identified a HiRi genomic biomarker that appears predictive for the lack of benefit from PDT in men with synchronous low-volume mCSPC. Further work validating these results is warranted.

Patient summary: In this report, we evaluated a high-risk genomic biomarker to predict the benefit from prostate-directed therapy for men with synchronous low-volume metastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer. We found that men without a high-risk mutation appear to experience a greater clinical benefit from prostate-directed therapy than those with a high-risk mutation.