High proinsulin:C-peptide ratio identifies individuals with stage 2 type 1 diabetes at high risk for progression to clinical diagnosis and responses to teplizumab treatment

Aims/hypothesis: Tractable precision biomarkers to identify immunotherapy responders are lacking in type 1 diabetes. We hypothesised that proinsulin:C-peptide (PI:C) ratios, a readout of beta cell stress, could provide insight into type 1 diabetes progression and responses to immunotherapy.

Methods: In this post hoc analysis, proinsulin and C-peptide levels were determined in baseline serum samples from 63 participants with stage 2 type 1 diabetes in the longitudinal TrialNet Teplizumab Prevention Study (n=41 in the teplizumab arm; n=22 in the placebo arm). In addition, previously tested demographic, C-peptide, glucose and proinsulin data were used for the new data analyses. The ratio of intact (unprocessed) proinsulin to C-peptide was analysed and relationships with progression to stage 3 diabetes were investigated.

Results: Elevated baseline PI:C was strongly associated with more rapid progression of diabetes in both the placebo and teplizumab treatment groups, but teplizumab abrogated the impact of high pre-treatment PI:C on type 1 diabetes progression. Differential responses of drug treatment in those with high vs low PI:C ratios were independent of treatment effects of teplizumab on the PI:C ratio or on relevant immune cells.

Conclusions/interpretation: High pre-treatment PI:C identified individuals with stage 2 type 1 diabetes who were exhibiting rapid progression to stage 3 disease and who displayed benefit from teplizumab treatment. These data suggest that readouts of active disease, such as PI:C ratio, could serve to identify optimal candidates or timing for type 1 diabetes disease-modifying therapies.