Risk factors for progressing to severe COVID-19 among people living with HIV in Japan: A hospital claims database study

Introduction: Risk factors for severe COVID-19 associated with people living with HIV (PLWH) have not been well studied in Japan. In this study, we aim to reveal how having AIDS and comorbidities affect adverse COVID-19 outcomes.

Methods: This observational, retrospective study examined the clinical outcomes for PLWH hospitalized as COVID-19 inpatients in Japan, using data extracted from hospitals with the Diagnosis Procedure Combination (DPC) system between January 2020 and December 2021. From 4672 records of HIV patients receiving antiretroviral therapy, 85 adult PLWH became hospitalized with COVID-19. The associations between patients' AIDS diagnosis, comorbidities, and their adverse COVID-19 outcomes (mild/moderate and severe/death) were analyzed.

Results: Among 85 studied patients, 78 were male (91.8%) with mean (SD) age of 48 (14.4) years. 75 (88.2%) were found to be COVID-19 mild/moderate; 9 (10.6%) were severe; 1 (1.2%) died. Older age (p = 0.002) and hypertension (p = 0.032) were significantly associated with progressing to severe COVID-19 or death. AIDS and other AIDS-defining illnesses were not found to be significant risk factors in this study.

Conclusions: While interpretation of the results from this hospital claim database study warrants caution, we found that among PLWH hospitalized as COVID-19 inpatients in Japan, those who are older or with hypertension have a higher risk for progression to severe COVID-19 outcomes, suggesting a careful monitoring of clinical course for these patients.