Predicting body fat percentage at 36 weeks of postmenstrual age in infants born preterm: A diagnostic accuracy study

Background: Current standards for assessing body composition can be costly and technically challenging. There is a need for a predictive equation that combines multiple clinical and anthropometric factors to predictbody composition outcomes at 36 weeks of postmenstrual age (PMA) or discharge.

Methods: To develop a widely applicable equation that predicts body fat percentage in preterm infants, we analyzed anthropometric data collected prospectively from a cohort of infants born very preterm between 2017 and 2018. We integrated clinical variables significantly associated with adiposity into a predictive equation using Bayesian linear regression models and leave-one-out cross-validation.

Results: We analyzed data from 86 infants born at 32 weeks of gestation or less (median gestational age, 30 weeks; mean birthweight, 1471 ± 270 g). Weight gain and increase in length per week from birth to 36 weeks of PMA, midarm circumference at 36 weeks of PMA, male sex, and higher enteral fluid intake (>180 ml/kg/day) were the strongest predictors of body fat percentage in the model with the highest predictive value (R² = 0.65). The correlation between actual and predicted body fat percentage using this Bayesian model was high (r = 0.82).

Conclusions: Weight gain and increase in length per week from birth to 36 weeks of PMA, midarm circumference at 36 weeks of PMA, male sex, and enteral fluid intake are significant predictors of body fat percentage at 36 weeks of PMA in very preterm infants.