Predictive Factors for Toxicity After Primary Chemoradiation for Locally Advanced Cervical Cancer: A Systematic Review

Purpose: Women with locally advanced cervical cancer (LACC) undergoing primary platinum-based chemoradiotherapy and brachytherapy often experience toxicities. Normal-tissue complication probability (NTCP) models quantify toxicity risk and aid in optimizing radiation therapy to minimize side effects. However, it is unclear which predictors to include in an NTCP model. The aim of this systematic review was to provide an overview of the identified predictors contributing to gastrointestinal (GI), genitourinary (GU), and vaginal toxicities and insufficiency fractures for LACC.

Methods and materials: A systematic search was performed and articles evaluating the relationship between predictors and toxicities in women with LACC treated with primary chemoradiation were included. The Quality In Prognosis Studies tool was used to assess risk of bias, with high-risk studies being excluded from further analysis. Relationships between dose-volume parameters, patient and treatment characteristics, and toxicity endpoints were analyzed.

Results: Seventy-three studies were identified. Twenty-six had a low or moderate risk of bias and were therefore included. Brachytherapy-related dose-volume parameters of the GI tract, including rectum and bowel equivalent dose in 2 Gy fractions (EQD2) D2 cm³, were frequently related to toxicities, unlike GU dose-volume parameters. Furthermore, (recto)vaginal point doses predicted toxicities. Few studies evaluated external beam radiation therapy dose-volume parameters and identified rectum EQD2 V30 Gy, V40 Gy, and V55 Gy, bowel and bladder EQD2 V40 Gy as toxicity predictors. Also, total reference air kerma and vaginal reference length were associated with toxicities. Relationships between patient characteristics and GI toxicity were inconsistent. The extent of vaginal involvement at diagnosis, baseline symptoms, and obesity predicted GU or vaginal toxicities. Only 1 study evaluated insufficiency fractures and demonstrated lower pretreatment bone densities to be associated.

Conclusions: This review detected multiple candidate predictors of toxicity. Larger studies should consider insufficiency fractures, assess dose levels from external beam radiation therapy, and quantify the relationship between the predictors and treatment-related toxicities in women with LACC to further facilitate NTCP model development for clinical use.