2009 CKD-EPI glomerular filtration rate estimation in Black individuals outside the United States: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background: The 2009 Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation is the most used equation to estimate glomerular filtration rate (GFR), with race being a factor thereof, increasing GFR by 16% in self-identified Black persons compared with non-Black persons. However, recent publications indicate that it might overestimate GFR for Black adults outside the USA. In this meta-analysis, we assessed the accuracy, evaluated by the percentage of estimated GFR within 30% of measured GFR (P30), of the 2009 CKD-EPI equation in estimating GFR with and without the race coefficient in Black individuals outside the United States of America (USA).

Methods: We searched MEDLINE and Embase from inception to 9 July 2022, with no language restriction, supplemented by manual reference searches. Studies that assessed the CKD-EPI P30 accuracy with or without the race coefficient in Black adults outside the USA with an adequate method of GFR measurement were included. Data were extracted by independent pairs of reviewers and were pooled using a random-effects model.

Results: We included 11 studies, with a total of 1834 Black adults from South America, Africa and Europe. The race coefficient in the 2009 CKD-EPI equation significantly decreased P30 accuracy {61.9% [95% confidence interval (CI) 53-70%] versus 72.9% [95% CI 66.7-78.3%]; P = .03}.

Conclusions: Outside the USA, the 2009 CKD-EPI equation should not be used with the race coefficient, even though the 2009 CKD-EPI equation is not sufficiently accurate either way (<75%). Thus we endorse the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes guidelines to use exogenous filtration markers when this may impact clinical conduct.