A systematic review and meta-analysis of new-onset atrial fibrillation in the context of COVID-19 infection

J Cardiovasc Electrophysiol. 2024 Mar;35(3):478-487. doi: 10.1111/jce.16169. Epub 2024 Jan 7.

Abstract

New-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) in COVID-19 raises significant clinical and public health issues. This systematic review and meta-analysis aims to compile and analyze the current literature on NOAF in COVID-19 and give a more comprehensive understanding of the prevalence and outcomes of NOAF in COVID-19. A comprehensive literature search was carried out using several databases. The random effect model using inverse variance method and DerSimonian and Laird estimator of Tua2 was used to calculate the pooled prevalence and associated 95% confidence interval (CI). Results for outcome analysis were presented as odds ratios (ORs) with 95% CI and pooled using the Mantel-Haenszel random-effects model. The pooled prevalence of NOAF in COVID-19 was 7.8% (95% CI: 6.54%-9.32%),a pooled estimate from 30 articles (81 929 COVID-19 patients). Furthermore, our analysis reported that COVID-19 patients with NOAF had a higher risk of developing severe disease compared with COVID-19 patients without a history of atrial fibrillation (OR = 4.78, 95% CI: 3.75-6.09) and COVID-19 patients with a history of pre-existing atrial fibrillation (OR = 2.75, 95% CI: 2.10-3.59). Similarly, our analysis also indicated that COVID-19 patients with NOAF had a higher risk of all-cause mortality compared with, COVID-19 patients without a history of atrial fibrillation (OR = 3.83, 95% CI: 2.99-4.92) and COVID-19 patients with a history of pre-existing atrial fibrillation (OR = 2.32, 95% CI: 1.35-3.96). The meta-analysis did not reveal any significant publication bias. The results indicate a strong correlation between NOAF and a higher risk of severe illness and mortality. These results emphasize the importance of careful surveillance, early detection, and customized NOAF management strategies to improve clinical outcomes for COVID-19 patients.

Keywords: COVID-19; SARS-CoV-2; atrial arrhythmias; heart rhythm; mortality; new-onset atrial fibrillation.

Publication types

  • Meta-Analysis
  • Systematic Review
  • Review

MeSH terms

  • Atrial Fibrillation* / diagnosis
  • Atrial Fibrillation* / epidemiology
  • COVID-19*
  • Databases, Factual
  • Humans
  • Odds Ratio
  • Risk Factors