Background: Childhood cancer survivors (CCS) are at an elevated risk of developing both a second malignant neoplasm (SMN) and cardiac disease.
Objectives: This study sought to assess the excess of occurrence of cardiac disease after a SMN among CCS.
Methods: Analyses included 7,670 CCS from the French Childhood Cancer Survivors Study cohort diagnosed between 1945 and 2000. To account for the time dependence of the occurrence of a SMN, we employed a landmark approach, considering an additive regression model for the cumulative incidence of cardiac disease. We estimated the effect of a SMN on the instantaneous risk of cardiac disease using a proportional cause-specific hazard model, considering a SMN as a time-dependent exposure. In both models, we adjusted for demographic and treatment information and considered death as a competing event.
Results: In 7,670 CCS over a median follow-up of 30 years (IQR: 22-38 years), there were 378 cases of cardiac disease identified, of which 49 patients experienced a SMN. Patients who survived 25 years after their childhood cancer diagnosis and had a SMN in that time frame had a significantly increased cumulative incidence of cardiac disease, which was 3.8% (95% CI: 0.5% to 7.1%) higher compared with those without a SMN during this period. No SMN-induced excess of cardiac disease was observed at subsequent landmark times. SMNs were associated with a 2-fold increase (cause-specific HR: 2.0; 95% CI: 1.4-2.8) of cardiac disease.
Conclusions: The occurrence of a SMN among CCS is associated with an increased risk of cardiac disease occurrence and risk at younger ages.
Keywords: additive model, anthracycline chemotherapy, cardiac disease; cardio-oncology; cumulative incidence; late effect, radiation.
© 2023 The Authors.