Thin aortic arch plaque is associated with the development of atrial fibrillation for embolic stroke of undetermined source in patients with an insertable cardiac monitor

Background and objective: This study's objective is to investigate whether mild aortic arch plaque is associated with the development of atrial fibrillation (AF) in stroke patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) during the first year following the implantation of an insertable cardiac monitor (ICM).

Methods: The participants in this cross-sectional observational study were consecutive patients with ESUS, even after transesophageal echocardiography. We assessed the relationship between the thickness of the participants' aortic arch plaque and AF detected after ICM implantation.

Results: Of the 50 consecutive patients with ESUS enrolled in this study, 12 (24%) developed AF. We observed that thicker aortic arch plaque was associated with undetected AF (2.3 mm vs. 1.2 mm, p < 0.001). Aortic arch plaque thickness was independent associated with undetected AF (OR 54.00, 95% CI 2.706-1077.544, p = 0.009). When the cut-off value for aortic arch plaque thickness was 1.8 mm, the sensitivity and specificity were 71.1% and 91.7%, respectively (95% CI = 0.75-0.98, p < 0.001). Also, patients having both aortic arch plaque with a thickness < 1.8 mm and a CHADS₂ score ≥ 4 were more likely to have detectable AF than no AF (88% vs. 12%, p < 0.001).

Conclusion: A thinner aortic arch plaque was associated with the development of AF. Patients with mild aortic plaques below 4 mm but ≥1.8 mm in thickness and without other high-risk features are less likely to have paroxysmal AF on ICM, and these plaques may be a possible source of embolism for their strokes.