Risk of Stroke in Real-World US Individuals with Type 2 Diabetes Receiving Semaglutide or a Dipeptidyl Peptidase 4 Inhibitor

Introduction: People with type 2 diabetes (T2D) have a higher risk of stroke and worse outcomes than those without T2D. Pooled data from randomized controlled trials indicate that the glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonist semaglutide is associated with stroke risk reduction in people with T2D at high cardiovascular risk. We compared real-world stroke risk in people with T2D or T2D plus atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) initiating either semaglutide or a dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitor (DPP4i).

Methods: Adults (≥ 18 years old) in a US claims database with a claim indicating initiation of either semaglutide or a DPP4i (index date) during the index period (1 January 2018-30 September 2020), a diagnosis code for T2D on or before the index date and at least 12 months' continuous enrolment in the database pre-index were included and propensity score matched 1:1 on baseline demographic and clinical characteristics. The primary outcome was time to first stroke event during follow-up. Healthcare resource utilization was also compared between groups.

Results: The analysis included 17,920 matched pairs with T2D and 4234 matched pairs with T2D and ASCVD. The groups were well matched on baseline characteristics. People initiating semaglutide had a lower risk of stroke over short-term follow-up than those initiating a DPP4i (T2D: hazard ratio 0.63 [95% confidence interval 0.41-0.95], p = 0.029; T2D plus ASCVD: 0.45 [0.24-0.86], p = 0.015). Semaglutide was also associated with a lower rate of inpatient, outpatient and emergency room visits compared with a DPP4i.

Conclusion: This proof-of-concept analysis indicates that semaglutide has the potential to reduce the risk of stroke in people with T2D when prescribed in clinical practice.