Background: There is no effective treatment for sepsis-associated acute kidney injury (SA-AKI). Ilofotase alfa (human recombinant alkaline phosphatase) has been shown to exert reno-protective properties, although it remains unclear which patients might be most likely to benefit. We aimed to identify a clinical phenotype associated with ilofotase alfa's therapeutic efficacy.
Methods: Data from 570 out of 650 patients enrolled in the REVIVAL trial were used in a stepwise machine learning approach. First, clinical variables with increasing or decreasing risk ratios for ilofotase alfa treatment across quartiles for the main secondary endpoint, Major Adverse Kidney Events up to day 90 (MAKE90), were selected. Second, linear regression analysis was used to determine the therapeutic effect size. Finally, the top-15 variables were used in different clustering analyses with consensus assessment.
Results: The optimal clustering model comprised two phenotypes. Phenotype 1 displayed relatively lower disease severity scores, and less pronounced renal and pulmonary dysfunction. Phenotype 2 exhibited higher severity scores and creatinine, with lower eGFR and bicarbonate levels. Compared with placebo treatment, ilofotase alfa significantly reduced MAKE90 events for phenotype 2 patients (54% vs. 68%, p = 0.013), but not for phenotype 1 patients (49% vs. 46%, p = 0.54).
Conclusion: We identified a clinical phenotype comprising severely ill patients with underlying kidney disease who benefitted most from ilofotase alfa treatment. This yields insight into the therapeutic potential of this novel treatment in more homogeneous patient groups and could guide patient selection in future trials, showing promise for personalized medicine in SA-AKI and other complex conditions.
Keywords: Acute kidney injury; Chronic kidney disease; Cluster analysis; MAKE90; Machine learning; Phenotypes; Sepsis.
© 2024. The Author(s).