Circadian assessment of heart failure using explainable deep learning and novel multi-parameter polar images

Background and objective: Heart failure (HF) is a multi-faceted and life-threatening syndrome that affects more than 64.3 million people worldwide. Current gold-standard screening technique, echocardiography, neglects cardiovascular information regulated by the circadian rhythm and does not incorporate knowledge from patient profiles. In this study, we propose a novel multi-parameter approach to assess heart failure using heart rate variability (HRV) and patient clinical information.

Methods: In this approach, features from 24-hour HRV and clinical information were combined as a single polar image and fed to a 2D deep learning model to infer the HF condition. The edges of the polar image correspond to the timely variation of different features, each of which carries information on the function of the heart, and internal illustrates color-coded patient clinical information.

Results: Under a leave-one-subject-out cross-validation scheme and using 7,575 polar images from a multi-center cohort (American and Greek) of 303 coronary artery disease patients (median age: 58 years [50-65], median body mass index (BMI): 27.28 kg/m² [24.91-29.41]), the model yielded mean values for the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, normalized Matthews correlation coefficient (NMCC), and accuracy of 0.883, 90.68%, 95.19%, 0.93, and 92.62%, respectively. Moreover, interpretation of the model showed proper attention to key hourly intervals and clinical information for each HF stage.

Conclusions: The proposed approach could be a powerful early HF screening tool and a supplemental circadian enhancement to echocardiography which sets the basis for next-generation personalized healthcare.