Performance of VI-RADS in predicting muscle-invasive bladder cancer after transurethral resection: a single center retrospective analysis

Purpose: To assess VIRADS performance and inter-reader agreement for detecting muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) following transurethral resection of bladder tumor (TURBT).

Methods: An IRB-approved, HIPAA-compliant, retrospective study from 2016 to 2020 included patients with bladder urothelial carcinoma who underwent MRI after TURBT, and cystectomy within 3 months without post-MRI treatments. Three radiologists blinded to pathology results independently reviewed MR images and assigned a VI-RADS score. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV) and accuracy of VI-RADS were assessed for diagnosing MIBC using VI-RADS scores ≥ 3 and ≥ 4. Inter-reader agreement was assessed using Gwet's agreement coefficient (AC) and percent agreement.

Results: The cohort consisted of 70 patients (mean age, 68 years ± 11 [SD]; range 39-85; 58 men) and included 32/70 (46%) with MIBC at cystectomy. ROC analysis revealed an AUC ranging from 0.67 to 0.77 and no pairwise statistical difference between readers (p-values, 0.06, 0.08, 0.97). Percent sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV and accuracy for diagnosing MIBC for the three readers ranged from 81.3-93.8, 36.8-55.3, 55.6-60.5, 77.3-87.5, and 62.9-67.1 respectively for VI-RADS score ≥ 3, and 78.1-81.3, 47.4-68.4, 55.6-67.6, 72.0-78.8 and 61.4-72.9 respectively for VI-RADS score ≥ 4. Gwet's AC was 0.63 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.49,0.78] for VI-RADS score ≥ 3 with 79% agreement [95% CI 72,87] and 0.54 [95%CI 0.38,0.70] for VI-RADS score ≥ 4 with 76% agreement [95% CI 69,84]. VIRADS performance was not statistically different among 31/70 (44%) patients who received treatments prior to MRI (p ≥ 0.16).

Conclusion: VI-RADS had moderate sensitivity and accuracy but low specificity for detection of MIBC following TURBT, with moderate inter-reader agreement.