Objectives: To evaluate the effectiveness and safety of two different intravenous methylprednisolone (IVMP) pulse doses in patients with severe microscopic polyangiitis (MPA) and granulomatosis with polyangiitis (GPA).
Methods: We emulated a target trial using observational data from the nationwide registry in Japan. Patients with severe glomerulonephritis or diffuse alveolar haemorrhage were selected and pseudo-randomized into three groups using propensity score-based overlap weighting as follows: non-IVMP, IVMP 0.5 g/day and IVMP 1.0 g/day. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality, and the secondary outcomes were composite all-cause mortality and kidney failure, severe relapse and serious infection from 2 to 48 weeks after treatment initiation. To estimate the treatment effects, the Cox proportional hazard model and Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard model were used.
Results: In this emulated target trial, of 201 eligible patients (MPA, 175; GPA, 26), 6 (3%) died, 4 (2.0%) had kidney failure, 11 (5.5%) had severe relapse, and 40 (19.9%) had severe infections. Hazard ratios (HR) for IVMP 0.5 g/day and IVMP 1.0 g/day pulse groups compared with non-IVMP pulse were as follows: all-cause mortality 0.46 (95% CI: 0.07, 2.81) and 0.07 (95% CI: 0.01, 0.41), respectively; all-cause mortality/kidney failure 1.18 (95% CI: 0.26, 5.31) and 0.59 (95% CI: 0.08, 4.52), respectively; subdistribution HRs for severe relapse were 1.26 (95% CI: 0.12, 13.70) and 3.36 (95% CI: 0.49, 23.29), respectively; and for serious infection 1.88 (95% CI: 0.76, 4.65) and 0.94 (95% CI: 0.28, 3.13), respectively.
Conclusion: IVMP 1.0 g/day pulse may improve 48-week mortality in patients with severe MPA/GPA.
Keywords: granulomatosis with polyangiitis; intravenous methylprednisolone pulse; microscopic polyangiitis; observational study; target trial emulation.
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