2012 Briganti nomogram predict prostate cancer progression in EAU intermediate risk with unfavorable tumor grade: A single center experience

Background: To investigate the potential prognostic impact of Briganti's 2012 nomogram in EAU intermediate-risk patients presenting with an unfavorable tumor grade and treated with robot-assisted radical prostatectomy, eventually associated with extended pelvic lymph node dissection.

Materials and methods: From January 2013 to December 2021, the study included 179 EAU intermediate-risk patients presenting with an unfavorable tumor grade (ISUP 3), eventually associated with a PSA of 10-20 ng/ml and/or cT-2b. Briganti's 2012 nomogram was assessed as both a continuous and dichotomous variable, categorized according to the median (risk score ⩾7% vs <7%). Disease progression, defined as biochemical recurrence and/or metastatic progression, was evaluated using Cox proportional hazards in both univariate and multivariate analyses.

Results: Disease progression occurred in 43 (24%) patients after a median (95% CI) follow-up of 78 (65.7-88.4) months. The nomogram risk score predicted disease progression, evaluated both as a continuous variable (hazard ratio, HR = 1.064; 95% CI: 1.035-1.093; p < 0.0001) and as a categorical variable (HR = 3.399; 95% CI: 1.740-6.638; p < 0.0001). This association was confirmed in multivariate analysis, where hazard ratios remained consistent even after adjusting for clinical and pathological factors.

Conclusions: In EAU intermediate-risk PCa cases presenting with an unfavorable tumor grade and treated surgically, Briganti's 2012 nomogram was associated with disease progression after surgery. Consequently, as the nomogram risk score increased, patients were more likely to experience PCa progression, facilitating the stratification of the patient population into distinct prognostic subgroups.