Using artificial intelligence to predict mortality in AKI patients: a systematic review/meta-analysis

Background: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is associated with increased morbidity/mortality. With artificial intelligence (AI), more dynamic models for mortality prediction in AKI patients have been developed using machine learning (ML) algorithms. The performance of various ML models was reviewed in terms of their ability to predict in-hospital mortality for AKI patients.

Methods: A literature search was conducted through PubMed, Embase and Web of Science databases. Included studies contained variables regarding the efficacy of the AI model [the AUC, accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, negative predictive value and positive predictive value]. Only original studies that consisted of cross-sectional studies, prospective and retrospective studies were included, while reviews and self-reported outcomes were excluded. There was no restriction on time and geographic location.

Results: Eight studies with 37 032 AKI patients were included, with a mean age of 65.3 years. The in-hospital mortality was 18.0% in the derivation and 15.8% in the validation cohorts. The pooled [95% confidence interval (CI)] AUC was observed to be highest for the broad learning system (BLS) model [0.852 (0.820-0.883)] and elastic net final (ENF) model [0.852 (0.813-0.891)], and lowest for proposed clinical model (PCM) [0.765 (0.716-0.814)]. The pooled (95% CI) AUC of BLS and ENF did not differ significantly from other models except PCM [Delong's test P = .022]. PCM exhibited the highest negative predictive value, which supports this model's use as a possible rule-out tool.

Conclusion: Our results show that BLS and ENF models are equally effective as other ML models in predicting in-hospital mortality, with variability across all models. Additional studies are needed.