Cost-effectiveness analysis of first-line serplulimab plus chemotherapy for advanced squamous non-small-cell lung cancer in China: based on the ASTRUM-004 trial

Expert Rev Pharmacoecon Outcomes Res. 2024 Oct;24(8):1043-1051. doi: 10.1080/14737167.2024.2379600. Epub 2024 Jul 15.

Abstract

Objective: In the ASTRUM-004 trial, serplulimab plus chemotherapy demonstrated significantly improved survival and controllable safety. This study assessed the cost-effectiveness of serplulimab plus chemotherapy in advanced squamous non-small cell lung cancer (sqNSCLC), considering the perspective of the Chinese healthcare system.

Methods: A decision tree and a Markov model were constructed to simulate the treatment. The interesting results included total cost, life-years (LYs), quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). Scenario, one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were used to examine model instability.

Results: Compared with placebo plus chemotherapy, serplulimab plus chemotherapy had an ICER of $55,539.46/QALY ($47,278.84/LY). The ICERs were estimated to be $58,706.03/QALY, $48,978.34/QALY and $59,709.54/QALY inpatients with programmed death-ligand 1 expression level of tumor proportion score (TPS) < 1%, 1% ≤ TPS < 50%, and TPS ≥ 50%. The cost-effective prices of serplulimab were $168.276/100 mg, $349.157/100 mg, and $530.039/100 mg at the willingness-to-pay threshold of $12,574.30/QALY, $25,148.60/QALY, and $37,722.90/QALY. Patient weight and price of serplulimab created the most significant impact. Presently, the probability of serplulimab plus chemotherapy being cost-effective was 14.15%.

Conclusion: Compared with placebo plus chemotherapy, serplulimab plus chemotherapy might not be cost-effective in the first-line treatment for advanced sqNSCLC.

Keywords: Cost-effectiveness; first-line treatment; serplulimab; sqNSCLC; squamous non-small cell lung cancer.

MeSH terms

  • Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized / administration & dosage
  • Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized / economics
  • Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols* / administration & dosage
  • Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols* / economics
  • B7-H1 Antigen
  • Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung* / drug therapy
  • Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung* / economics
  • Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung* / pathology
  • China
  • Cost-Benefit Analysis*
  • Cost-Effectiveness Analysis
  • Decision Trees*
  • Humans
  • Lung Neoplasms* / drug therapy
  • Lung Neoplasms* / economics
  • Lung Neoplasms* / pathology
  • Markov Chains*
  • Quality-Adjusted Life Years*
  • Survival Rate

Substances

  • Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized
  • CD274 protein, human
  • B7-H1 Antigen