Association of aortic diameters and mortality in the general population-an MRI-based study

Background: Increased diameters of the aorta are associated with increased mortality risk. In the present analyses, we assessed whether aortic diameters are associated with cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in community-dwelling individuals free of known cardiovascular disease (CVD).

Methods: MRI-derived vascular parameters of the thoracic and abdominal aorta from 2668 participants (median age = 53 years; 51.1% women) of the population-based SHIP-START-2 and SHIP-TREND-0 cohorts without CVD were analyzed. Age- and sex-adjusted, as well as multivariable-adjusted Cox-proportional hazard models, were used to estimate associations of diameters of six different aortic segments to mortality.

Results: Over a median follow-up time of 10.6 years (IQR: 8.7; 12.4), a total of 188 participants (126 men and 62 women) died, of which 38 deaths were due to CVD. In unadjusted models, mortality rates were higher in participants with aortic diameters above the median compared to below the median for all investigated aortic sections (all log-rank p < 0.001). In multivariable-adjusted models, the diameters of the ascending thoracic aorta (HR = 1.34 95% CI: 1.04; 1.72, p = 0.022) and of the infrarenal aorta (HR = 3.75 95% CI: 1.06; 13.3, p = 0.040), modeled continuously, were associated with greater cardiovascular mortality. The diameter of the subphrenic aorta was associated with higher cardiovascular mortality only in the age and sex-adjusted model (HR = 3.65 95% CI: 1.01; 13.3, p = 0.049). None of the investigated aortic segments were associated with all-cause mortality.

Conclusion: Non-indexed diameters of the ascending thoracic and infrarenal aorta were associated with higher cardiovascular mortality but not with all-cause mortality in a population sample free of clinically overt CVD at baseline.

Clinical relevance statement: Increased aortic diameter is associated with cardiovascular mortality and can help to identify high-risk patients.

Key points: Increased aortic diameter is associated with mortality. Non-indexed diameters of the ascending and infrarenal aorta are associated with cardiovascular mortality but not all-cause mortality. Aortic diameter measurements support the estimate of cardiovascular mortality.