Impact of surface ultraviolet radiation intensity on hospital admissions for ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke: A large-scale database study using distributed lag nonlinear analysis, 2015-2022, in Harbin, China

J Stroke Cerebrovasc Dis. 2024 Sep;33(9):107908. doi: 10.1016/j.jstrokecerebrovasdis.2024.107908. Epub 2024 Jul 31.

Abstract

Objectives: Our aim is to evaluate the impact of surface ultraviolet radiation intensity on hospital admissions for stroke and to compare the correlation and differences among different subtypes of strokes.

Materials and methods: We collected daily data on surface ultraviolet radiation intensity, temperature, air pollution, and hospital admissions for stroke in Harbin from 2015 to 2022. Using a distributed lag non-linear model, we determined the correlation between daily surface ultraviolet radiation intensity and the stroke admission rate. Relative risks (RR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) and attributable fractions (AF) with 95% CI were calculated based on stroke subtypes, gender, and age groups.

Results: A total of 132,952 hospitalized stroke cases (including hemorrhagic and ischemic strokes) were included in the study. We assessed the non-linear effects of ultraviolet intensity on hospitalized patients with ischemic and hemorrhagic strokes. Compared to the maximum morbidity benchmark ultraviolet intensity (19.2 × 10^5 for ischemic stroke and 20.25 for hemorrhagic stroke), over the 0-10 day lag period, the RR for extreme low radiation (1st percentile) was 0.86 (95% CI: 0.77, 0.96), and the RR for extreme high radiation (99th percentile) was 0.86 (95% CI: 0.77, 0.96). In summary, -4.842% (95% CI: -7.721%, -2.167%) and -1.668% (95% CI: -3.061%, -0.33%) of ischemic strokes were attributed to extreme low radiation intensity with a lag of 0 to 10 days and extreme high radiation intensity with a lag of 0 to 5 days, respectively. The reduction in stroke hospitalization rates due to low or high ultraviolet intensity was more pronounced in females and younger individuals compared to males and older individuals. None of the mentioned ultraviolet intensity intensities and lag days had a statistically significant impact on hemorrhagic stroke.

Conclusions: Our study fundamentally suggests that both lower and higher levels of surface ultraviolet radiation intensity in Harbin, China, contribute to a reduced incidence of ischemic stroke, with this effect lasting approximately 10 days. This finding holds significant potential for public health and clinical relevance.

Keywords: Distributed lag nonlinear models; Hemorrhagic stroke; Ischemic stroke; Ultraviolet radiation intensity.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • China / epidemiology
  • Databases, Factual*
  • Environmental Exposure / adverse effects
  • Female
  • Hemorrhagic Stroke* / diagnosis
  • Hemorrhagic Stroke* / epidemiology
  • Hemorrhagic Stroke* / etiology
  • Humans
  • Ischemic Stroke* / diagnosis
  • Ischemic Stroke* / epidemiology
  • Ischemic Stroke* / etiology
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Nonlinear Dynamics*
  • Patient Admission*
  • Radiation Exposure / adverse effects
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Time Factors
  • Ultraviolet Rays* / adverse effects
  • Young Adult