Poor Prognosis among Radiation-Associated Bladder Cancer Is Defined by Clinicogenomic Features

Radiotherapy (RT) for prostate cancer has been associated with an increased risk for the development of bladder cancer. We aimed to integrate clinical and genomic data to better understand the development of RT-associated bladder cancer. A retrospective analysis was performed to identify control patients (CTRL; n = 41) and patients with RT-associated bladder cancer (n = 41). RT- and CTRL-specific features were then identified through integration and analysis of the genomic sequencing data and clinical variables. RT-associated bladder tumors were significantly enriched for alterations in KDM6A and ATM, whereas CTRL tumors were enriched for CDKN2A mutation. Globally, there were an increased number of variants within RT tumors, albeit at a lower variant allele frequency. Mutational signature analysis revealed three predominate motif patterns, with similarity to SBS2/13 (APOBEC3A), SBS5 (ERCC2/smoking), and SBS6/15 (MMR). Poor prognostic factors in the RT cohort include a short tumor latency, smoking status, the presence of the smoking and X-ray therapy mutational signatures, and CDKN2A copy number loss. Based on the clinical and genomic findings, we suggest at least two potential pathways leading to RT-associated bladder cancer: The first occurs in the setting of field cancerization related to smoking or preexisting genetic alterations and leads to the development of more aggressive bladder tumors, and the second involves RT initiating the oncogenic process in otherwise healthy urothelium, leading to a longer latency and less aggressive disease.

Significance: Clinicogenomic analysis of radiation-associated bladder cancer uncovered mutational signatures that, in addition to a short tumor latency, smoking, and CDKN2A loss, are associated with a poor outcome. These clinical and genomic features provide a potential method to identify patients with prostate cancer who are at an increased risk for the development of aggressive bladder cancer following prostate RT.